Both Conservative MPs in Milton Keynes will be ousted at the next general election, poll predicts

Milton Keynes’ two Conservative MPs will both lose their seats at the next general election, polling data has shown.

Experts at Electoral Calculus use their experience of elections coupled with advanced polling analysis to make predictions of the likely result – and they say it’s not looking good for Iain Stewart and Ben Everitt.

The site, which made the most accurate pre-poll predictions for the UK General Election in 2019, predicts Labour will gain MK South and MK North.

These are among four Buckinghamshire seats that could be lost by the Conservatives, the others being Wycombe and Aylesbury.

Electoral Calculus predicts a Labour majority as the likeliest outcome in a snap general election.

The next general election is due to take place by January 2025 at the latest, but the Prime Minister could call one earlier if he wishes.

Parliamentary boundary changes for Milton Keynes mean the city will have three MPs, with the creation of a new constituency spanning from Bletchley to Buckingham.

Currently Mr Stewart is the MP for MK South, while his Tory colleague Ben Everitt is MP for MK North. Both intend to stand again, but Mr Stewart will be standing for the brand new Buckingham and Bletchley constituency, which means he will be dividing his loyalties with Buckingham and surrounding villages.

He said earlier this year: “Boundary changes mean that my current MK South seat is split up into three new seats. I shall be contesting the proposed Buckingham & Bletchley seat but will remain MP for all of my current seat until the election is called.”

A third Tory candidate, Johnny Luk, will battle for the new Milton Keynes South constituency.

But Electoral Calculus predict all three seats will go to Labour. And if a snap general election were to be held tomorrow, Labour would be celebrating a “landslide victory” with around 460 seats throughout the county, they say.

They predict that Conservatives will be reduced to 90 seats, while Liberal Democrats and SNP will be in tight battle for third place in Westminster.