Milton Keynes elections 2021: The safest six wards in the borough – at least until Thursday
They have been the Milton Keynes Council wards where political parties could guarantee their candidates would be elected.
Whether any of the six safest seats will change hands after Thursday’s election is still to be seen but recent history suggests it is a long shot.
Looking back at the results from the May 2019 these are the wards which observers would expect to result in “holds”.
The Conservatives currently hold the top three “safest seats” with Olney at the peak. In 2019 they romped home with a 1,463 vote advantage over Labour
Sitting Tory Keith McLean will be hoping to be first across the line again this time round against some familiar faces.
Labour’s Dee Bethune finished second to the Tories in 2019 with 608 votes, compared to 2,071 that Conservative David Hosking racked up.
Green party stalwart Catherine Rose is also standing again, and they are joined by new face Tony Oyakhire (Lib Dem).
The Tories also lay claim to the second and third safest seats in the borough, both with majorities of at least 1,000 votes.
In Newport Pagnell North and Hanslope their advantage over the Lib Dems was 1,006 in 2019, while down in Danesborough and Walton it was bang on 1,000 over the Greens.
It was the Green Party’s best placed finish two years ago and this time their same candidate, Peter William Skelton, will be trying again to dislodge a sitting Conservative, Victoria Hopkins.
Lib Dem Michael Charles Kemp and Labour’s Shanika Caitlin Mahendran will also be hoping to cause a shock.
Back in Newport Pagnell North & Hanslope Tory new face Chris Wardle is hoping to take a seat by beating Lib Dem Greg Duffield, Labour’s Sha Khan and the Women’s Equality Party local leader Jane Whild.
Labour’s first appearance in the safe seats list is Woughton and Fishermead, where their advantage was 940 over the Tories in 2019.
This time two seats there are up for grabs.
One of the seats is technically a by-election following the resignation of Shammi Akter.
The other is up for grabs on its normal four year rotation.
Sitting councillor Hannah O’Neill’s decision not to stand opens it up for a second new face.
Seven candidates competing for the two seats are: Johanna Elizabeth Breen (Green); Donna Fuller (Lab); Ray Arthur Lewis (Cons); Amber McQuillan (Lab); Raissa Roy (Lib Dem); Tatiana Vassilakis (Cons) and Terry White (Lib Dem).
The safest Lib Dem seats in 2019 were Newport Pagnell South with a 901 vote advantage over the Conservatives and Monkston where they held off the Tory challenge by 879 votes.
This time Andy Carr is hoping to take over the Lib Dem baton in Newport Pagnell South from party leader Douglas McCall who is bowing out.
Hoping to upset the yellow party’s applecart are Scot Antal Balazs (Cons); Alexander David Chapman (Labour) and Holly Jones (Green).
Over in Monkston Lib Dem grandee Vanessa McPake will be hoping to see off the challenge of Tory Jamie Tamagnini who challenged two years ago.
Labour’s Naseem Khan is also in the running in this three-sided contest.